Kick-off · Sat, 5 Dec, 02:00 pm ISTMatchday 12
Persijap Jepara vs Arema: Prediction
Persijap Jepara41%Away win
Arema33% Home win26% Draw41% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.26 – 1.45
Team rating (Elo)1420 – 1511
Recent form
Persijap JeparaLLLLDAremaDDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | Persijap Jepara | 7 | -12 | 1 |
Head to head
- Arema 1–0 Persijap Jepara2026-02-02
- Persijap Jepara 0–0 Arema2025-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
