Kick-off · Wed, 3 Mar, 07:00 pm ISTMatchday 22
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta: Prediction
Persebaya Surabaya38%Away win
Persija Jakarta36% Home win26% Draw38% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.33 – 1.38
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1631
Recent form
Persebaya SurabayaWDLWDPersija JakartaWWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 7 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
Head to head
- Persija Jakarta 3–0 Persebaya Surabaya2026-04-11
- Persebaya Surabaya 1–3 Persija Jakarta2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
