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FTMatchday 4

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lens: Prediction

📍 Parc des Princes

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Paris Saint-GermainLens
  1. 5'Odsonne Édouardyellow card
  2. Bradley Barcolaassist Vitinha15'
  3. 18'Florian Thauvinyellow card
  4. Khvicha Kvaratskheliaon30'
  5. Gonçalo Ramosyellow card38'
  6. 46'Morgan Guilavoguion
  7. Bradley Barcolaassist Vitinha51'
  8. Lee Kang-inon57'
  9. 66'Odsonne Édouardon
  10. 66'Ruben Aguilaron
  11. Warren Zaïre-Emeryon71'
  12. Bradley Barcolaon71'
  13. Lucas Beraldoon71'
  14. 80'Florian Thauvinon
  15. 80'Matthieu Udolon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Paris Saint-GermainLens
  • 69%Possession31%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots11
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 4Corners3
  • 10Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 3Saves4
  • 769Passes349

Line-ups

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 21Lucas Hernández
  • 2Achraf Hakimi
  • 19Lee Kang-in
  • 6Ilya Zabarnyi
  • 17Vitinha
  • 7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos
  • 29Bradley Barcola
  • 30Lucas Chevalier
  • 33Warren Zaïre-Emery
  • 4Lucas Beraldo

Lens

  • 10Florian Thauvin
  • 11Odsonne Édouard
  • 2Ruben Aguilar
  • 20Malang Sarr
  • 28Adrien Thomasson
  • 24Jonathan Gradit
  • 8Mamadou Sangaré
  • 29Morgan Guilavogui
  • 6Samson Baidoo
  • 40Robin Risser Birckel

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1596 – 1454

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainWWW
LensLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain9+1120
2Lens9+619

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Lens in the Ligue 1 on 14 September 2025. Paris Saint-Germain sit 1st on 20 points and Lens are 2nd on 19. Paris Saint-Germain have won 3 of their last 3 (WWW), while Lens have won 2 of 3 (LWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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