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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma: Prediction

Paris Saint-Germain
58%Home win
Roma

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)2.00 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1607 – 1633

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Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
RomaWWDWW
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Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Roma in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2026. Paris Saint-Germain sit 6th on 9 points and Roma are 37th on 4. Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Roma have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Paris Saint-Germain 58%, the draw 21% and Roma 21%, so Paris Saint-Germain are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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