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FTMatchday 3

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1578 – 1498

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainWLWDD
MonacoWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain9+1120
2Monaco8+415

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 4 September 2026. Paris Saint-Germain sit 1st on 20 points and Monaco are 4th on 15. Paris Saint-Germain have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWDD), while Monaco have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming