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Kick-off · Matchday 12

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient: Prediction

Paris Saint-Germain
62%Home win
Lorient

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.04 – 0.96
Team rating (Elo)1578 – 1489

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
LorientDLWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain9+1120
2Lorient8+112

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026. Paris Saint-Germain sit 1st on 20 points and Lorient are 10th on 12. Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Lorient have won 2 of 5 (DLWWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Paris Saint-Germain 62%, the draw 21% and Lorient 17%, so Paris Saint-Germain are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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