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Kick-off · Matchday 11

Paris FC vs Angers: Prediction

Paris FC
55%Home win
Angers

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.84 – 1.07
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1451

Recent form

Paris FCDWLWL
AngersDWLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris FC8+414
2Angers8-68

Head to head

  • Angers 1–0 Paris FC2025-08-17

Match preview

Paris FC host Angers in the Ligue 1 on 22 November 2026. Paris FC sit 6th on 14 points and Angers are 14th on 8. Paris FC have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLWL), while Angers have won 1 of 5 (DWLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Paris FC won 0, Angers won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Paris FC 55%, the draw 23% and Angers 22%, so Paris FC are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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