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FTMatchday 4

Pafos vs Villarreal: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1468

Recent form

PafosDLD
VillarrealLDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Pafos5-36

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Pafos host Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League on 5 November 2025. Pafos sit 24th on 6 points and Villarreal are 34th on 1. Pafos have won 0 of their last 3 (DLD), while Villarreal have won 2 of 5 (LDLWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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