Paderborn vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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PaderbornWLDWD
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paderborn | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Paderborn2026-10-31
Why the model leans Paderborn
- Paderborn rate higher on our strength scale (1497 vs 1444).
- Paderborn are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 of their last 5.
- League table: Paderborn #10, Borussia Mönchengladbach #17.
- Expected goals from the model: Paderborn 2.0, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.2.
Match preview
Paderborn host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027. Paderborn sit 10th on 9 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 17th on 4. Paderborn have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDWD), while Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of 5 (LLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Paderborn won 0, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Paderborn 56%, the draw 21% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 23%, so Paderborn are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
