Osasuna vs Real Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio El Sadar
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- Aimar Orozyellow card32'
- 37'Thibaut Courtoisyellow card
- ⚽Ante Budimirpenalty38'
- 64'⇄Daniel Carvajalon
- 64'⇄Eduardo Camavingaon
- Jon Moncayolayellow card66'
- ⇄Ruben Garciaon66'
- ⇄Ante Budimiron67'
- ⇄Aimar Orozon71'
- 73'⚽Vinícius Júniorassist Federico Valverde
- 75'⇄Federico Valverdeon
- 82'⇄Arda Güleron
- ⇄Jon Moncayolaon83'
- ⇄Valentin Rosieron83'
- 84'Trent Alexander-Arnoldyellow card
- 88'Vinícius Júnioryellow card
- 90'David Alabayellow card
- ⚽Raúl Garcíaassist Raul Moro90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 39%Possession61%
- 2.05Expected goals (xG)1.69
- 13Shots15
- 2Shots on target5
- 3Corners7
- 19Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 4Saves1
- 353Passes570
Line-ups
Osasuna
- 6Lucas Torró
- 14Ruben Garcia
- 20Javi Galán
- 17Ante Budimir
- 1Sergio Herrera
- 7Jon Moncayola
- 24Alejandro Catena
- 19Valentin Rosier
- 10Aimar Oroz
- 5Jorge Herrando
- 21Víctor Muñoz
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 2Daniel Carvajal
- 4David Alaba
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 8Federico Valverde
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 17Raúl Asencio
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
OsasunaWWDWD
Real MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 35 | -4 | 39 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 1–0 Osasuna2025-08-19
Match preview
Osasuna host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 21 February 2026. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Osasuna have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWD), while Real Madrid have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Osasuna won 0, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
