FTMatchday 7

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

Osasuna1

Rayo Vallecano1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

OsasunaRayo Vallecano

Ante Budimir16'
Asier Osambelayellow card21'
24'Pathé Cissyellow card
50'Sergio Camelloassist Adrià Pedrosa
Kike Barjaon56'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1502

Recent form

OsasunaDWLLL

Rayo VallecanoDLWLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano	9	-4	12
2	Osasuna	9	-11	8

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna2026-01-24
Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano2025-09-14

Match preview

Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 19 September 2026. Osasuna sit 18th on 8 points and Rayo Vallecano are 9th on 12. Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLLL), while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of 5 (DLWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 2, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.