Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
📍 Estadio El Sadar
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 10'⇄Luiz Felipeon
- ⚽Raúl García15'
- Aimar Orozyellow card24'
- Alejandro Catenayellow card43'
- 43'Isi Palazónyellow card
- 45'Pathé Cissyellow card
- ⇄Raúl Garcíaon60'
- ⇄Víctor Muñozon60'
- 64'⇄Unai Lopezon
- 65'⇄Alvaro Garciaon
- ⇄Aimar Orozon71'
- Abel Bretonesyellow card72'
- ⚽Iker Benitoassist Jon Moncayola77'
- 81'⇄Florian Lejeuneon
- 81'⇄Pedro Díazon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 36%Possession64%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 9Shots19
- 7Shots on target6
- 3Corners6
- 13Fouls7
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 6Saves4
- 303Passes540
Line-ups
Osasuna
- 6Lucas Torró
- 1Sergio Herrera
- 7Jon Moncayola
- 3Juan Cruz
- 24Alejandro Catena
- 19Valentin Rosier
- 10Aimar Oroz
- 9Raúl García
- 22Enzo Boyomo
- 23Abel Bretones
- 21Víctor Muñoz
Rayo Vallecano
- 17Unai Lopez
- 18Alvaro Garcia
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 5Luiz Felipe
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 4Pedro Díaz
- 7Isi Palazón
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 6Pathé Ciss
- 13Augusto Batalla
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -2 | 48 | |
| 2 | 35 | -4 | 39 |
Head to head
- Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-09-19
- Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna2026-01-24
Match preview
Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 14 September 2025. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Osasuna have won 0 of their last 2 (LL), while Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of 2 (WD). In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

