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FTMatchday 4

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

📍 Estadio El Sadar

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
OsasunaRayo Vallecano
  1. 10'Luiz Felipeon
  2. Raúl García15'
  3. Aimar Orozyellow card24'
  4. Alejandro Catenayellow card43'
  5. 43'Isi Palazónyellow card
  6. 45'Pathé Cissyellow card
  7. Raúl Garcíaon60'
  8. Víctor Muñozon60'
  9. 64'Unai Lopezon
  10. 65'Alvaro Garciaon
  11. Aimar Orozon71'
  12. Abel Bretonesyellow card72'
  13. Iker Benitoassist Jon Moncayola77'
  14. 81'Florian Lejeuneon
  15. 81'Pedro Díazon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

OsasunaRayo Vallecano
  • 36%Possession64%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 9Shots19
  • 7Shots on target6
  • 3Corners6
  • 13Fouls7
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 6Saves4
  • 303Passes540

Line-ups

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 3Juan Cruz
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 10Aimar Oroz
  • 9Raúl García
  • 22Enzo Boyomo
  • 23Abel Bretones
  • 21Víctor Muñoz

Rayo Vallecano

  • 17Unai Lopez
  • 18Alvaro Garcia
  • 24Florian Lejeune
  • 5Luiz Felipe
  • 19Jorge de Frutos
  • 2Andrei Rațiu
  • 4Pedro Díaz
  • 7Isi Palazón
  • 3Pep Chavarría
  • 6Pathé Ciss
  • 13Augusto Batalla

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1425 – 1502

Recent form

OsasunaLL
Rayo VallecanoWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano35-248
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-09-19
  • Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna2026-01-24

Match preview

Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 14 September 2025. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Osasuna have won 0 of their last 2 (LL), while Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of 2 (WD). In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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