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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Osasuna vs Málaga: Prediction

Osasuna
43%Home win
Málaga

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.44 – 1.17
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1445

Recent form

OsasunaLDLWL
MálagaLLDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Osasuna9-118
2Málaga9-105

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Osasuna host Málaga in the La Liga on 22 November 2026. Osasuna sit 18th on 8 points and Málaga are 20th on 5. Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while Málaga have won 0 of 5 (LLDLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Osasuna 43%, the draw 26% and Málaga 31%, so Osasuna are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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