Kick-off · Wed, 21 Apr, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 33
Osasuna vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
Osasuna40%Home win
Deportivo Alavés40% Home win26% Draw34% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.37 – 1.23
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1469
Recent form
OsasunaLDLWLDeportivo AlavésLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 5–2 Osasuna2026-09-06
- Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Osasuna2026-04-05
- Osasuna 3–0 Deportivo Alavés2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
