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FTMatchday 17

Osasuna vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

📍 Estadio El Sadar

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
OsasunaDeportivo Alavés
  1. 46'Calebeon
  2. 46'Abde Rebbachon
  3. 61'Víctor Paradayellow card
  4. Ruben Garciaon69'
  5. Valentin Rosieron69'
  6. Ante Budimirassist Aimar Oroz72'
  7. Alejandro Catenayellow card74'
  8. 74'Carles Aleñáyellow card
  9. Abel Bretonesyellow card76'
  10. 77'Pablo Ibáñezon
  11. Ante Budimirpenalty81'
  12. Abel Bretoneson86'
  13. Ante Budimiron89'
  14. Aimar Orozon89'
  15. 89'Denis Suárezon
  16. Raúl García90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

OsasunaDeportivo Alavés
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 16Shots7
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 9Corners0
  • 16Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves4
  • 376Passes437

Line-ups

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 14Ruben Garcia
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 10Aimar Oroz
  • 5Jorge Herrando
  • 23Abel Bretones
  • 21Víctor Muñoz

Deportivo Alavés

  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 4Denis Suárez
  • 1Antonio Sivera
  • 17Jonathan Otto
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 5Jon Pacheco
  • 14Nahuel Tenaglia
  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 24Víctor Parada
  • 21Abde Rebbach
  • 20Calebe

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1425 – 1462

Recent form

OsasunaDLDWL
Deportivo AlavésWLLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés35-843
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 5–2 Osasuna2026-09-06
  • Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Osasuna2026-04-05

Match preview

Osasuna host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 20 December 2025. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDWL), while Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of 5 (WLLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 0, Deportivo Alavés won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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