Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio El Sadar
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- Javi Galányellow card14'
- 15'⚽Ademola Lookmanpenalty
- 18'⇄Rodrigo Mendozaon
- Ruben Garciayellow card30'
- ⇄Raul Moroon37'
- Ante Budimiryellow card45'
- 46'⇄Thiago Almadaon
- 52'Marcos Llorenteyellow card
- Kike Barjayellow card57'
- 57'Kokeyellow card
- 59'Marc Pubillyellow card
- ⇄Ruben Garciaon60'
- ⇄Javi Galánon60'
- 71'⚽Alexander Sørlothassist Marcos Llorente
- ⇄Lucas Torróon72'
- ⇄Moi Gómezon72'
- 79'Marcos Llorenteyellow card
- 79'Marcos Llorentered card
- 82'⇄Ademola Lookmanon
- Alejandro Catenayellow card85'
- 85'Robin Le Normandyellow card
- Flavien Enzo Boyomoyellow card90'
- ⚽Kike Barjaassist Raúl García90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 58%Possession42%
- 2.16Expected goals (xG)1.64
- 23Shots5
- 5Shots on target4
- 8Corners4
- 15Fouls12
- 6Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards1
- 0Offsides2
- 2Saves4
- 477Passes358
Line-ups
Osasuna
- 6Lucas Torró
- 14Ruben Garcia
- 13Aitor Fernandez
- 16Moi Gómez
- 20Javi Galán
- 17Ante Budimir
- 7Jon Moncayola
- 24Alejandro Catena
- 19Valentin Rosier
- 18Raul Moro
- 22Flavien Enzo Boyomo
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 22Ademola Lookman
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 1Juan Musso
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 18Marc Pubill
- 21Obed Vargas
- 11Thiago Almada
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +16 | 62 | |
| 2 | 35 | -4 | 39 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 4–0 Osasuna2026-09-16
- Atlético Madrid 1–0 Osasuna2025-10-18
Match preview
Osasuna host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 12 May 2026. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

