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FTMatchday 36

Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio El Sadar

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
OsasunaAtlético Madrid
  1. Javi Galányellow card14'
  2. 15'Ademola Lookmanpenalty
  3. 18'Rodrigo Mendozaon
  4. Ruben Garciayellow card30'
  5. Raul Moroon37'
  6. Ante Budimiryellow card45'
  7. 46'Thiago Almadaon
  8. 52'Marcos Llorenteyellow card
  9. Kike Barjayellow card57'
  10. 57'Kokeyellow card
  11. 59'Marc Pubillyellow card
  12. Ruben Garciaon60'
  13. Javi Galánon60'
  14. 71'Alexander Sørlothassist Marcos Llorente
  15. Lucas Torróon72'
  16. Moi Gómezon72'
  17. 79'Marcos Llorenteyellow card
  18. 79'Marcos Llorentered card
  19. 82'Ademola Lookmanon
  20. Alejandro Catenayellow card85'
  21. 85'Robin Le Normandyellow card
  22. Flavien Enzo Boyomoyellow card90'
  23. Kike Barjaassist Raúl García90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

OsasunaAtlético Madrid
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2.16Expected goals (xG)1.64
  • 23Shots5
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 8Corners4
  • 15Fouls12
  • 6Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Offsides2
  • 2Saves4
  • 477Passes358

Line-ups

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 14Ruben Garcia
  • 13Aitor Fernandez
  • 16Moi Gómez
  • 20Javi Galán
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 18Raul Moro
  • 22Flavien Enzo Boyomo

Atlético Madrid

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 6Koke
  • 7Antoine Griezmann
  • 22Ademola Lookman
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 1Juan Musso
  • 3Matteo Ruggeri
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 21Obed Vargas
  • 11Thiago Almada
  • 4Rodrigo Mendoza

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1425 – 1501

Recent form

OsasunaDLWLL
Atlético MadridLLWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Atlético Madrid 4–0 Osasuna2026-09-16
  • Atlético Madrid 1–0 Osasuna2025-10-18

Match preview

Osasuna host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 12 May 2026. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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