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FTMatchday 18

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio El Sadar

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
OsasunaAthletic Bilbao
  1. 9'Aitor Paredesyellow card
  2. Ruben Garcia34'
  3. 53'Adama Boiroyellow card
  4. 60'Iñaki Williamson
  5. 60'Oihan Sanceton
  6. 60'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
  7. Jon Moncayolayellow card67'
  8. 69'Andoni Gorosabelon
  9. 71'Gorka Guruzetaassist Robert Navarro
  10. Alejandro Catenayellow card73'
  11. 73'Álex Berengueryellow card
  12. Ante Budimiron76'
  13. Ruben Garciaon76'
  14. Jorge Herrandoyellow card77'
  15. Aimar Orozon83'
  16. Valentin Rosieron86'
  17. 90'Nico Williamson

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

OsasunaAthletic Bilbao
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots16
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 1Corners9
  • 12Fouls19
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 5Saves3
  • 414Passes418

Line-ups

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 14Ruben Garcia
  • 20Javi Galán
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 10Aimar Oroz
  • 5Jorge Herrando
  • 21Víctor Muñoz

Athletic Bilbao

  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 10Nico Williams
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 19Adama Boiro

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1425 – 1483

Recent form

OsasunaLDWLW
Athletic BilbaoWLWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao35-1241
2Osasuna35-439

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Osasuna2026-04-21

Match preview

Osasuna host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 3 January 2026. Osasuna sit 17th on 39 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Osasuna have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of 5 (WLWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Osasuna won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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