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Kick-off · Sat, 24 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 33

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland: Prediction

Nottingham Forest
49%Home win
Sunderland

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.67 – 1.18
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1451

Recent form

Nottingham ForestWLLLD
SunderlandLLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Nottingham Forest8-46
2Sunderland8-85

Head to head

  • Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest2026-04-24
  • Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland2025-09-27

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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