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FTMatchday 11

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 City Ground

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Nottingham ForestLeeds United
  1. 13'Lukas Nmechaassist Brenden Aaronson
  2. Ibrahim Sangaré15'
  3. Ibrahim Sangaréyellow card33'
  4. Murilloyellow card41'
  5. Igor Jesuson59'
  6. Nicolás Domínguezon59'
  7. Ibrahim Sangaréon59'
  8. Morgan Gibbs-Whiteassist Omari Hutchinson68'
  9. 71'Sean Longstaffyellow card
  10. 74'Brenden Aaronsonon
  11. 74'Sean Longstaffon
  12. 74'Lukas Nmechaon
  13. 82'Jaka Bijolon
  14. 82'Gabriel Gudmundssonon
  15. Morgan Gibbs-Whiteon88'
  16. Elliott Andersonpenalty90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Nottingham ForestLeeds United
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots10
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 6Corners4
  • 10Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 2Saves3
  • 347Passes424

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest

  • 26Matz Sels
  • 31Nikola Milenković
  • 3Neco Williams
  • 16Nicolás Domínguez
  • 10Morgan Gibbs-White
  • 6Ibrahim Sangaré
  • 8Elliott Anderson
  • 14Dan Ndoye
  • 5Murillo
  • 19Igor Jesus
  • 37Nicolò Savona

Leeds United

  • 8Sean Longstaff
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 14Lukas Nmecha

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1502

Recent form

Nottingham ForestLLLLD
Leeds UnitedDLLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Leeds United38-747
2Nottingham Forest38-344

Head to head

  • Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United2026-08-22
  • Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest2026-02-06

Match preview

Nottingham Forest host Leeds United in the Premier League on 9 November 2025. Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 44 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Nottingham Forest have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (DLLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0, Leeds United won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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