Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 City Ground
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 13'⚽Lukas Nmechaassist Brenden Aaronson
- ⚽Ibrahim Sangaré15'
- Ibrahim Sangaréyellow card33'
- Murilloyellow card41'
- ⇄Igor Jesuson59'
- ⇄Nicolás Domínguezon59'
- ⇄Ibrahim Sangaréon59'
- ⚽Morgan Gibbs-Whiteassist Omari Hutchinson68'
- 71'Sean Longstaffyellow card
- 74'⇄Brenden Aaronsonon
- 74'⇄Sean Longstaffon
- 74'⇄Lukas Nmechaon
- 82'⇄Jaka Bijolon
- 82'⇄Gabriel Gudmundssonon
- ⇄Morgan Gibbs-Whiteon88'
- ⚽Elliott Andersonpenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 14Shots10
- 6Shots on target3
- 6Corners4
- 10Fouls11
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 2Saves3
- 347Passes424
Line-ups
Nottingham Forest
- 26Matz Sels
- 31Nikola Milenković
- 3Neco Williams
- 16Nicolás Domínguez
- 10Morgan Gibbs-White
- 6Ibrahim Sangaré
- 8Elliott Anderson
- 14Dan Ndoye
- 5Murillo
- 19Igor Jesus
- 37Nicolò Savona
Leeds United
- 8Sean Longstaff
- 6Joe Rodon
- 15Jaka Bijol
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 14Lukas Nmecha
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | -7 | 47 | |
| 2 | 38 | -3 | 44 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United2026-08-22
- Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest2026-02-06
Match preview
Nottingham Forest host Leeds United in the Premier League on 9 November 2025. Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 44 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Nottingham Forest have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (DLLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0, Leeds United won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

