Kick-off · Sat, 19 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 16
Nottingham Forest vs Everton: Prediction
Nottingham Forest44%Home win
Everton44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.55 – 1.26
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1482
Recent form
Nottingham ForestWLLLDEvertonDWDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 0–2 Everton2025-12-30
- Everton 3–0 Nottingham Forest2025-12-06
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
