Kick-off · Sat, 5 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 14
Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction
Nottingham Forest43%Away win
Brighton and Hove Albion32% Home win25% Draw43% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.28 – 1.53
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1564
Recent form
Nottingham ForestWLLLDBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 2–1 Nottingham Forest2026-03-01
- Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-11-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
