FTMatchday 32

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Prediction

📍 City Ground

Nottingham Forest1

Aston Villa1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Nottingham ForestAston Villa

11'Matty Cashyellow card
23'Murilloown goal
Neco Williamsassist Callum Hudson-Odoi38'
Omari Hutchinsonyellow card45'
Murilloyellow card63'
Omari Hutchinsonon65'
67'John McGinnyellow card
77'Ross Barkleyon
78'Lucas Digneon
78'Morgan Rogerson
Morgan Gibbs-Whiteon84'
87'Ollie Watkinson
Igor Jesuson89'
Ola Ainaon89'
90'Matty Cashon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Nottingham ForestAston Villa

41%Possession59%
1.20Expected goals (xG)0.98
15Shots12
4Shots on target5
7Corners3
15Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
5Saves4
335Passes487

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest

26Matz Sels
34Ola Aina
31Nikola Milenković
3Neco Williams
7Callum Hudson-Odoi
10Morgan Gibbs-White
6Ibrahim Sangaré
8Elliott Anderson
21Omari Hutchinson
5Murillo
19Igor Jesus

Aston Villa

6Ross Barkley
12Lucas Digne
40Marco Bizot
8Youri Tielemans
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
3Victor Lindelof
2Matty Cash
14Pau Torres
24Amadou Onana
27Morgan Rogers

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1526

Recent form

Nottingham ForestLLDDW

Aston VillaDLLLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Nottingham Forest	38	-3	44

Head to head

Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest2026-09-12
Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest2026-01-03

Match preview

Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 12 April 2026. Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 44 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5 (LLDDW), while Aston Villa have won 1 of 5 (DLLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.