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FTMatchday 2

Norwich City vs Southampton: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1491 – 1523

Recent form

Norwich CityW
SouthamptonW
#TeamPGDPts
1Southampton3+36
2Norwich City2-23

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Norwich City host Southampton in the EFL Cup on 26 August 2025. Norwich City sit 38th on 3 points and Southampton are 12th on 6. Norwich City have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Southampton have won 1 of 1 (W). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.