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Kick-off · Matchday 12

Nice vs Troyes: Prediction

Nice
55%Home win
Troyes

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.84 – 1.07
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1452

Recent form

NiceWWLWW
TroyesLLLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Nice9+114
2Troyes9-98

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Nice host Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026. Nice sit 7th on 14 points and Troyes are 15th on 8. Nice have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Troyes have won 1 of 5 (LLLDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Nice 55%, the draw 23% and Troyes 22%, so Nice are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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