FTMatchday 8

Nice vs Lyon: Prediction

📍 Allianz Riviera

Nice3

Lyon2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

NiceLyon

Melvin Bardassist Sofiane Diop5'
26'Clinton Matayellow card
29'Pavel Šulcassist Ruben Kluivert
Sofiane Diopassist Jeremie Boga35'
Hichem Boudaouiassist Jonathan Clauss55'
Charles Vanhoutteyellow card64'
Danteon66'
68'Abneron
68'Adam Karabecon
Mohamed-Ali Choon73'
Sofiane Diopon73'
Jeremie Bogaon73'
77'Clinton Mataon
77'Tyler Mortonon
77'Malick Fofanaon
90'Moussa Niakhatéyellow card
90'Pavel Šulc

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NiceLyon

31%Possession69%
0.60Expected goals (xG)3.39
5Shots29
4Shots on target7
1Corners16
10Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
5Saves1
252Passes544

Line-ups

Nice

7Jeremie Boga
4Dante
92Jonathan Clauss
10Sofiane Diop
26Melvin Bard
80Yehvann Diouf
6Hichem Boudaoui
24Charles Vanhoutte
25Mohamed-Ali Cho
33Antoine Mendy
37Kojo Peprah Oppong

Lyon

98Ainsley Maitland-Niles
8Corentin Tolisso
22Clinton Mata
1Dominik Greif
23Tyler Morton
7Adam Karabec
20Martín Costa
16Abner
11Malick Fofana
21Ruben Kluivert
10Pavel Šulc

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1507

Recent form

NiceLWLDD

LyonWLWWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	9	+4	18
2	Nice	9	-1	14

Head to head

Lyon 2–1 Nice2026-10-18

Match preview

Nice host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 18 October 2025. Nice sit 8th on 14 points and Lyon are 4th on 18. Nice have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLDD), while Lyon have won 3 of 5 (WLWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Nice won 0, Lyon won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.