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FTMatchday 5

Nice vs Lille: Prediction

Nice2
FT
Lille1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
NiceLille
  1. Mohamed Abdelmonemyellow card5'
  2. Nathan Ngoyown goal22'
  3. 55'Ethan Mbappéon
  4. Mohamed Amourayellow card57'
  5. Youssouf Ndayishimiyeon58'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1459

Recent form

NiceWDLDL
LilleWDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lille9+618
2Nice9+114

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Nice host Lille in the Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026. Nice sit 7th on 14 points and Lille are 2nd on 18. Nice have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLDL), while Lille have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming