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FTMatchday 31

Newcastle United vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Newcastle UnitedSunderland
  1. Anthony Gordonassist Nick Woltemade10'
  2. 44'Trai Humeyellow card
  3. Sven Botmanon54'
  4. 57'Chemsdine Talbi
  5. Anthony Elangaon65'
  6. Nick Woltemadeon65'
  7. Kieran Trippieron65'
  8. Harvey Barneson76'
  9. 82'Omar Aldereteyellow card
  10. 85'Habib Diarraon
  11. Anthony Gordonon89'
  12. 90'Brian Brobbey
  13. Joelintonyellow card90'
  14. 90'Brian Brobbeyyellow card
  15. 90'Brian Brobbeyon
  16. 90'Chemsdine Talbion
  17. 90'Noah Sadikiyellow card
  18. 90'Lutsharel Geertruidayellow card
  19. 90'Reinildo Mandavayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedSunderland
  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1.29Expected goals (xG)2.44
  • 16Shots17
  • 4Shots on target7
  • 9Corners5
  • 8Fouls19
  • 1Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 4Saves3
  • 403Passes262

Line-ups

Newcastle United

  • 2Kieran Trippier
  • 33Dan Burn
  • 11Harvey Barnes
  • 32Aaron Ramsdale
  • 7Joelinton
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 10Anthony Gordon
  • 4Sven Botman
  • 41Jacob Ramsey
  • 20Anthony Elanga
  • 3Lewis Hall

Sunderland

  • 13Luke O'Nien
  • 34Granit Xhaka
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 15Omar Alderete
  • 9Brian Brobbey
  • 19Habib Diarra
  • 32Trai Hume
  • 11Christopher Rigg
  • 27Noah Sadiki
  • 7Chemsdine Talbi
  • 31Melker Ellborg

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1498

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedWLLWW
SunderlandLLDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Sunderland38-654
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Sunderland 1–0 Newcastle United2025-12-14

Match preview

Newcastle United host Sunderland in the Premier League on 22 March 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Newcastle United have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Sunderland have won 1 of 5 (LLDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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