FTMatchday 7

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Newcastle United2

Nottingham Forest0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Newcastle UnitedNottingham Forest

32'Ryan Yatesyellow card
34'Neco Williamsyellow card
Bruno Guimarãesassist Dan Burn58'
64'Chris Woodon
64'Ryan Yateson
65'Dan Ndoyeon
68'Moratoyellow card
Anthony Gordonon69'
Anthony Elangaon70'
77'Moratoon
83'Elliott Andersonyellow card
Nick Woltemadepenalty84'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedNottingham Forest

59%Possession41%
2Expected goals (xG)0
17Shots5
8Shots on target4
8Corners1
15Fouls15
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
4Saves6
434Passes309

Line-ups

Newcastle United

2Kieran Trippier
33Dan Burn
1Nick Pope
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
27Nick Woltemade
10Anthony Gordon
4Sven Botman
39Bruno Guimarães
12Malick Thiaw
20Anthony Elanga

Nottingham Forest

11Chris Wood
26Matz Sels
31Nikola Milenković
3Neco Williams
10Morgan Gibbs-White
22Ryan Yates
8Elliott Anderson
14Dan Ndoye
4Morato
37Nicolò Savona
23Jair Cunha

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1492

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLDWLW

Nottingham ForestLLLDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle United	38	-2	49
2	Nottingham Forest	38	-3	44

Head to head

Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle United2026-05-10

Match preview

Newcastle United host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 5 October 2025. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Nottingham Forest are 16th on 44. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Nottingham Forest have won 0 of 5 (LLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.