FTMatchday 29

Newcastle United vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Newcastle United2

Manchester United1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Newcastle UnitedManchester United

Jacob Ramseyyellow card26'
37'Bryan Mbeumoyellow card
Joelintonyellow card38'
39'Luke Shawyellow card
Jacob Ramseyyellow card45'
Jacob Ramseyred card45'
Anthony Gordonpenalty45'
45'Casemiroassist Bruno Fernandes
Harvey Barneson46'
61'Casemiroon
61'Luke Shawon
64'Noussair Mazraouiyellow card
76'Kobbie Mainooon
77'Bryan Mbeumoon
Kieran Trippieryellow card80'
Anthony Elangaon84'
Anthony Gordonon85'
85'Noussair Mazraouion
Sandro Tonalion90'
William Daugaard Osulaassist Kieran Trippier90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedManchester United

45%Possession55%
2.48Expected goals (xG)1.48
12Shots14
5Shots on target5
2Corners4
15Fouls16
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
0Offsides0
4Saves3
381Passes469

Line-ups

Newcastle United

2Kieran Trippier
33Dan Burn
11Harvey Barnes
32Aaron Ramsdale
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
10Anthony Gordon
41Jacob Ramsey
12Malick Thiaw
20Anthony Elanga
3Lewis Hall

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
5Harry Maguire
18Casemiro
8Bruno Fernandes
3Noussair Mazraoui
10Matheus Cunha
19Bryan Mbeumo
31Senne Lammens
30Benjamin Šeško
15Leny Yoro
37Kobbie Mainoo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1502

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLLWLL

Manchester UnitedWWDWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester United	38	+19	71
2	Newcastle United	38	-2	49

Head to head

Manchester United 1–0 Newcastle United2025-12-26

Match preview

Newcastle United host Manchester United in the Premier League on 4 March 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Newcastle United have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWLL), while Manchester United have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Manchester United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.