Kick-off · Sun, 27 Dec, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 17
Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Prediction
Newcastle United52%Away win
Manchester City24% Home win24% Draw52% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.12 – 1.74
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1645
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWManchester CityWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle United2026-02-21
- Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City2025-11-22
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
