FTMatchday 12

Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Newcastle United2

Manchester City1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Newcastle UnitedManchester City

Harvey Barnesassist Bruno Guimarães63'
68'Ruben Dias
Harvey Barnes70'
71'Gianluigi Donnarummayellow card
76'Jérémy Dokuon
Lewis Hallon77'
77'Bernardo Silvaon
77'Rayan Cherkion
Harvey Barneson85'
Nick Woltemadeon85'
87'Phil Fodenon
Joelintonyellow card90'
90'Oscar Bobbyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedManchester City

32%Possession68%
2Expected goals (xG)2
9Shots17
5Shots on target4
5Corners9
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Offsides2
3Saves3
265Passes570

Line-ups

Newcastle United

23Jacob Murphy
1Nick Pope
5Fabian Schär
11Harvey Barnes
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
27Nick Woltemade
39Bruno Guimarães
12Malick Thiaw
21Valentino Livramento
3Lewis Hall

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
10Rayan Cherki
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
33Nico O'Reilly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1535

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedWWLWL

Manchester CityLWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Newcastle United	38	-2	49

Head to head

Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle United2026-02-21

Match preview

Newcastle United host Manchester City in the Premier League on 22 November 2025. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Newcastle United have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.