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FTMatchday 2

Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Newcastle UnitedLiverpool
  1. 8'Ryan Gravenberchyellow card
  2. 25'Ibrahima Konateyellow card
  3. 35'Ryan Gravenberchassist Cody Gakpo
  4. Dan Burnyellow card44'
  5. Anthony Gordonred card45'
  6. 46'Hugo Ekitikéassist Cody Gakpo
  7. Bruno Guimarãesyellow card47'
  8. Bruno Guimarãesassist Valentino Livramento57'
  9. Sandro Tonalion66'
  10. Harvey Barneson76'
  11. Kieran Trippieron76'
  12. Joelintonon76'
  13. 80'Hugo Ekitikéon
  14. 80'Florian Wirtzon
  15. Fabian Schäron81'
  16. 87'Conor Bradleyyellow card
  17. William Daugaard Osula88'
  18. 90'Rio Ngumohaassist Mohamed Salah
  19. 90'Mohamed Salahon
  20. 90'Cody Gakpoon
  21. 90'Curtis Joneson

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedLiverpool
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 10Shots5
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 7Corners1
  • 17Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 1Saves1
  • 241Passes435

Line-ups

Newcastle United

  • 2Kieran Trippier
  • 33Dan Burn
  • 1Nick Pope
  • 5Fabian Schär
  • 11Harvey Barnes
  • 7Joelinton
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 10Anthony Gordon
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 20Anthony Elanga
  • 21Valentino Livramento

Liverpool

  • 11Mohamed Salah
  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 1Alisson Becker
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 18Cody Gakpo
  • 17Curtis Jones
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 22Hugo Ekitiké
  • 6Milos Kerkez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1488

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedD
LiverpoolW
#TeamPGDPts
1Liverpool38+1060
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool2026-08-23
  • Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle United2026-01-31

Match preview

Newcastle United host Liverpool in the Premier League on 25 August 2025. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Newcastle United have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Liverpool have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Liverpool won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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