Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 St James Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
7 goals- Malick Thiawyellow card7'
- 22'Dominic Calvert-Lewinyellow card
- 32'⚽Brenden Aaronsonassist Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- ⚽Harvey Barnesassist Nick Woltemade36'
- Joelintonyellow card45'
- Anthony Gordonyellow card45'
- 45'⚽Dominic Calvert-Lewinpenalty
- ⇄Malick Thiawon46'
- ⇄Sandro Tonalion46'
- ⚽Joelintonassist Bruno Guimarães54'
- ⇄Nick Woltemadeon75'
- ⇄Fabian Schäron76'
- 79'⚽Brenden Aaronsonassist Ilia Gruev
- 80'⇄Anton Stachon
- ⇄Anthony Gordonon81'
- 87'⇄Dominic Calvert-Lewinon
- 90'Ethan Ampaduyellow card
- 90'⇄Ilia Gruevon
- 90'⇄Joe Rodonon
- 90'⇄Brenden Aaronsonon
- ⚽Bruno Guimarãespenalty90'
- ⚽Harvey Barnesassist Sven Botman90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 63%Possession37%
- 3Expected goals (xG)2
- 18Shots14
- 8Shots on target6
- 8Corners4
- 11Fouls10
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 3Saves3
- 538Passes328
Line-ups
Newcastle United
- 1Nick Pope
- 5Fabian Schär
- 11Harvey Barnes
- 7Joelinton
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 10Anthony Gordon
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 3Lewis Hall
- 67Lewis Miley
Leeds United
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 15Jaka Bijol
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
- 1Lucas Perri
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLDLWW
Leeds UnitedDWDDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United2026-09-14
- Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United2025-08-30
Match preview
Newcastle United host Leeds United in the Premier League on 7 January 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (LDLWW), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (DWDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
