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FTMatchday 20

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Newcastle UnitedCrystal Palace
  1. 33'Brennan Johnsonyellow card
  2. 38'Jefferson Lermaon
  3. 49'Tyrick Mitchellyellow card
  4. 52'Nathaniel Clyneon
  5. 55'Marc Guéhiyellow card
  6. Anthony Gordonyellow card62'
  7. Anthony Gordonon63'
  8. Lewis Hallon63'
  9. Sandro Tonalion63'
  10. Bruno Guimarãesassist Lewis Miley71'
  11. 72'Brennan Johnsonon
  12. Yoane Wissaon78'
  13. Malick Thiaw78'
  14. 87'Yeremi Pinoon
  15. 87'Adam Whartonon
  16. 87'Jean-Philippe Matetaon
  17. Jacob Murphyon88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedCrystal Palace
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 12Shots11
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 8Corners6
  • 5Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides2
  • 1Saves5
  • 494Passes344

Line-ups

Newcastle United

  • 23Jacob Murphy
  • 1Nick Pope
  • 5Fabian Schär
  • 7Joelinton
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 10Anthony Gordon
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 9Yoane Wissa
  • 12Malick Thiaw
  • 3Lewis Hall
  • 67Lewis Miley

Crystal Palace

  • 17Nathaniel Clyne
  • 19Will Hughes
  • 1Dean Henderson
  • 8Jefferson Lerma
  • 14Jean-Philippe Mateta
  • 3Tyrick Mitchell
  • 5Maxence Lacroix
  • 6Marc Guéhi
  • 10Yeremi Pino
  • 11Brennan Johnson
  • 20Adam Wharton

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1521

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedWLDLW
Crystal PalaceWLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Newcastle United38-249
2Crystal Palace38-1045

Head to head

  • Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle United2026-10-25
  • Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United2026-04-12

Match preview

Newcastle United host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 4 January 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Crystal Palace are 15th on 45. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Crystal Palace have won 1 of 5 (WLLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 1, Crystal Palace won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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