Kick-off · Thu, 11 Feb, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 25
Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Prediction
Newcastle United44%Home win
Chelsea44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.55 – 1.27
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1524
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWChelseaDLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United2026-03-14
- Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
