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FTMatchday 17

Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Newcastle UnitedChelsea
  1. Nick Woltemade4'
  2. 7'Robert Sanchezyellow card
  3. Nick Woltemadeassist Anthony Gordon20'
  4. 27'Alejandro Garnachoyellow card
  5. 45'Malo Gustoyellow card
  6. 49'Reece James
  7. 54'Malo Gustoon
  8. Fabian Schäryellow card61'
  9. 66'João Pedroassist Robert Sanchez
  10. 70'Moisés Caicedoyellow card
  11. Anthony Gordonon72'
  12. Nick Woltemadeon73'
  13. Jacob Murphyon73'
  14. Yoane Wissayellow card77'
  15. 79'Cole Palmeron
  16. 82'Andrey Santosyellow card
  17. 83'João Pedroyellow card
  18. Lewis Hallyellow card86'
  19. Jacob Ramseyon89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedChelsea
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots13
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Corners4
  • 13Fouls14
  • 3Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 2Saves3
  • 356Passes424

Line-ups

Newcastle United

  • 23Jacob Murphy
  • 5Fabian Schär
  • 32Aaron Ramsdale
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 10Anthony Gordon
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 41Jacob Ramsey
  • 12Malick Thiaw
  • 3Lewis Hall
  • 67Lewis Miley

Chelsea

  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 3Marc Cucurella
  • 29Wesley Fofana
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 10Cole Palmer
  • 49Alejandro Garnacho

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1524

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLWDWL
ChelseaWDLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Chelsea38+652
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United2026-03-14

Match preview

Newcastle United host Chelsea in the Premier League on 20 December 2025. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDWL), while Chelsea have won 2 of 5 (WDLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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