FTMatchday 35

Newcastle United vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Newcastle United3

Brighton and Hove Albion1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Newcastle UnitedBrighton and Hove Albion

William Daugaard Osulaassist Jacob Murphy12'
18'Mats Wiefferon
22'Joel Veltmanyellow card
Dan Burnassist Bruno Guimarães24'
39'Kaoru Mitomayellow card
Dan Burnyellow card53'
61'Jack Hinshelwoodassist Danny Welbeck
William Daugaard Osulaon68'
Joe Willockon68'
Jacob Murphyon68'
80'Carlos Balebaon
80'Danny Welbeckon
81'Danny Welbeckon
Sandro Tonaliyellow card85'
Yoane Wissayellow card87'
88'Jack Hinshelwoodon
90'Jan Paul van Heckeyellow card
Bruno Guimarãeson90'
Harvey Barnes90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedBrighton and Hove Albion

33%Possession67%
3.27Expected goals (xG)1.64
14Shots13
6Shots on target4
2Corners10
10Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
3Saves4
229Passes473

Line-ups

Newcastle United

23Jacob Murphy
33Dan Burn
1Nick Pope
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
4Sven Botman
28Joe Willock
39Bruno Guimarães
12Malick Thiaw
67Lewis Miley
18William Daugaard Osula

Brighton and Hove Albion

18Danny Welbeck
30Pascal Gross
21Olivier Boscagli
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
17Carlos Baleba
27Mats Wieffer
13Jack Hinshelwood
11Yankuba Minteh

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1535

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedWLLLL

Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53
2	Newcastle United	38	-2	49

Head to head

Brighton and Hove Albion 2–1 Newcastle United2025-10-18

Match preview

Newcastle United host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 2 May 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 8th on 53. Newcastle United have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLLL), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 4 of 5 (WWWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.