Kick-off · Sat, 27 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 27
Newcastle United vs Brentford: Prediction
Newcastle United41%Home win
Brentford41% Home win25% Draw34% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.48 – 1.32
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1541
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWBrentfordDWDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–3 Brentford2026-02-07
- Brentford 3–1 Newcastle United2025-11-09
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
