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FTMatchday 25

Newcastle United vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Newcastle UnitedBrentford
  1. Sven Botmanassist Bruno Guimarães24'
  2. 37'Vitaly Janeltassist Dango Ouattara
  3. Jacob Murphyyellow card44'
  4. 45'Igor Thiagopenalty
  5. Joe Willockon46'
  6. Jacob Murphyon46'
  7. 56'Jordan Hendersonon
  8. Yoane Wissaon65'
  9. 69'Igor Thiagoyellow card
  10. Bruno Guimarãespenalty79'
  11. 80'Keane Lewis-Potteron
  12. 85'Dango Ouattaraassist Mathias Jensen
  13. Kieran Trippieron87'
  14. Sandro Tonalion87'
  15. 87'Mathias Jensenon
  16. Lewis Hallyellow card90'
  17. 90'Vitaly Janeltyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedBrentford
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 2.25Expected goals (xG)1.89
  • 16Shots11
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 9Corners3
  • 14Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves1
  • 423Passes379

Line-ups

Newcastle United

  • 2Kieran Trippier
  • 23Jacob Murphy
  • 1Nick Pope
  • 11Harvey Barnes
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 4Sven Botman
  • 28Joe Willock
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 9Yoane Wissa
  • 12Malick Thiaw
  • 3Lewis Hall

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 3Rico Henry
  • 20Kristoffer Ajer
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 27Vitaly Janelt
  • 23Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1541

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedWWDLL
BrentfordWWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford38+353
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Brentford 3–1 Newcastle United2025-11-09

Match preview

Newcastle United host Brentford in the Premier League on 7 February 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDLL), while Brentford have won 3 of 5 (WWLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Brentford won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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