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FTMatchday 33

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Newcastle UnitedBournemouth
  1. 32'Marcus Tavernierassist Rayan
  2. Lewis Hallon46'
  3. 52'Ryan Christieyellow card
  4. 55'Marcus Tavernieryellow card
  5. Anthony Elangaon62'
  6. Jacob Ramseyon62'
  7. 65'Ryan Christieon
  8. 66'Eli Junior Kroupion
  9. William Daugaard Osula68'
  10. Valentino Livramentoon74'
  11. Sven Botmanyellow card77'
  12. 78'Rayanon
  13. Jacob Murphyyellow card80'
  14. 82'Alex Scottyellow card
  15. 85'Adrien Truffert
  16. Sandro Tonalion86'
  17. 89'Evanilsonon
  18. 89'Marcus Tavernieron
  19. 90'Đorđe Petrovićyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedBournemouth
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1.65Expected goals (xG)3.03
  • 12Shots12
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 2Corners3
  • 11Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 1Saves2
  • 433Passes380

Line-ups

Newcastle United

  • 11Harvey Barnes
  • 32Aaron Ramsdale
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 4Sven Botman
  • 41Jacob Ramsey
  • 12Malick Thiaw
  • 20Anthony Elanga
  • 21Valentino Livramento
  • 3Lewis Hall
  • 67Lewis Miley
  • 18William Daugaard Osula

Bournemouth

  • 10Ryan Christie
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 23James Hill
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 22Eli Junior Kroupi
  • 20Álex Jiménez
  • 37Rayan

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1482

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLWWLL
BournemouthDDDDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth2026-09-05
  • Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle United2025-09-21

Match preview

Newcastle United host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 18 April 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (LWWLL), while Bournemouth have won 1 of 5 (DDDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Bournemouth won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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