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FTMatchday 3

Newcastle United vs Benfica: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1482

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedWLWWL
BenficaLL
#TeamPGDPts
2Benfica5-43

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Newcastle United host Benfica in the UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2025. Newcastle United sit 11th on 9 points and Benfica are 30th on 3. Newcastle United have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWL), while Benfica have won 0 of 2 (LL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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