Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Prediction
📍 St James Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 19'⚽Emiliano Buendiaassist Morgan Rogers
- Joelintonyellow card27'
- ⇄Joelintonon48'
- 59'⇄Jadon Sanchoon
- ⇄Yoane Wissaon62'
- ⇄Anthony Gordonon63'
- 74'⇄Youri Tielemanson
- 75'⇄Emiliano Buendiaon
- 75'⇄Pau Torreson
- 79'Lucas Digneyellow card
- ⇄Sandro Tonalion84'
- 88'⚽Ollie Watkinsassist Lucas Digne
- 89'⇄Amadou Onanaon
- 90'Ian Maatsenyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 2.18Expected goals (xG)1.16
- 15Shots14
- 4Shots on target8
- 6Corners5
- 7Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 6Saves4
- 519Passes353
Line-ups
Newcastle United
- 2Kieran Trippier
- 1Nick Pope
- 11Harvey Barnes
- 7Joelinton
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 10Anthony Gordon
- 4Sven Botman
- 9Yoane Wissa
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 3Lewis Hall
- 67Lewis Miley
Aston Villa
- 23Emiliano Martinez
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 8Youri Tielemans
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 2Matty Cash
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 19Jadon Sancho
- 14Pau Torres
- 24Amadou Onana
- 27Morgan Rogers
- 22Ian Maatsen
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWWWD
Aston VillaWLWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa2026-10-17
- Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United2025-08-16
Match preview
Newcastle United host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 25 January 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 49 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Newcastle United have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWD), while Aston Villa have won 2 of 5 (WLWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
