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FTMatchday 1

Napoli vs Arsenal: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1532

Recent form

NapoliLWWWL
ArsenalWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Napoli host Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League on 9 September 2026. Napoli sit 51st on 3 points and Arsenal are 16th on 7. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWL), while Arsenal have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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