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FTMatchday 6

Monaco vs Toulouse: Prediction

Monaco
2–2
Toulouse

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1506

Recent form

MonacoWWWDW
ToulouseLDLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Monaco8+415
2Toulouse8+110

Head to head

  • Monaco 1–0 Toulouse2025-10-25

Match preview

Monaco host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026. Monaco sit 4th on 15 points and Toulouse are 11th on 10. Monaco have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWDW), while Toulouse have won 1 of 5 (LDLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Monaco won 1, Toulouse won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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