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FTMatchday 9

Monaco vs Toulouse: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1506

Recent form

MonacoLDDDD
ToulouseLLDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Monaco9+517
2Toulouse9+213

Head to head

  • Monaco 2–2 Toulouse2026-10-10

Match preview

Monaco host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2025. Monaco sit 6th on 17 points and Toulouse are 9th on 13. Monaco have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDDD), while Toulouse have won 2 of 5 (LLDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Monaco won 0, Toulouse won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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