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FTMatchday 5

Monaco vs Lens: Prediction

Monaco2
FT
Lens1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
MonacoLens
  1. Paris Brunnerassist Matthis Abline32'
  2. 45'Jean-Clair Todiboon
  3. 53'Florian Thauvinyellow card
  4. 57'Matthieu Udolassist Florian Thauvin

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1479

Recent form

MonacoDWWWD
LensWLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Monaco8+415
2Lens9+313

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Monaco host Lens in the Ligue 1 on 18 September 2026. Monaco sit 4th on 15 points and Lens are 8th on 13. Monaco have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWD), while Lens have won 2 of 5 (WLLWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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