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FTMatchday 7

Metz vs Marseille: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1497

Recent form

MetzLLDLD
MarseilleWLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Marseille9+1318
2Metz9-202

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Metz host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 4 October 2025. Metz sit 18th on 2 points and Marseille are 3rd on 18. Metz have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLD), while Marseille have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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