Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 1

Marseille vs Strasbourg: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1485

Recent form

MarseilleWLLLW
StrasbourgWLWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Marseille8+512
2Strasbourg8-67

Head to head

  • Strasbourg 1–2 Marseille2025-09-26

Match preview

Marseille host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 on 21 August 2026. Marseille sit 9th on 12 points and Strasbourg are 16th on 7. Marseille have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLLW), while Strasbourg have won 2 of 5 (WLWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, Strasbourg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming