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FTMatchday 5

Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction

Marseille1
FT
Paris Saint-Germain2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
MarseilleParis Saint-Germain
  1. Igor Paixãoon30'
  2. Timothy Weahyellow card32'
  3. 39'Nuno Mendesyellow card
  4. 59'Khvicha Kvaratskheliaon
  5. Amine Hariton63'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1578

Recent form

MarseilleWWLLL
Paris Saint-GermainDDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain9+1120
2Marseille8+512

Head to head

  • Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain2025-09-22

Match preview

Marseille host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026. Marseille sit 9th on 12 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 1st on 20. Marseille have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLL), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 2 of 5 (DDLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, Paris Saint-Germain won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming