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FTMatchday 3

Marseille vs Paris FC: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1515

Recent form

MarseilleLLWWL
Paris FCWLLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris FC8+414
2Marseille8+512

Head to head

  • Marseille 5–2 Paris FC2025-08-23

Match preview

Marseille host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on 6 September 2026. Marseille sit 9th on 12 points and Paris FC are 6th on 14. Marseille have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWL), while Paris FC have won 2 of 5 (WLLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, Paris FC won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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